Beautiful Virgin Islands

Friday, Jul 25, 2025

4 Signals Hint That Bitcoin Downtrend Might Soon Be Over

4 Signals Hint That Bitcoin Downtrend Might Soon Be Over

Negative sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is hitting lows across the board. However, it might be worth paying attention to signals which might indicate a possible bullish reversal in the short-term

A bullish case isn’t on many people’s minds – but signs are cropping up that Bitcoin may indeed be headed for a trend reversal. Here are some signs explaining why BTC might be overdue for a renewed uptick.

Bitcoin reached its all-time high of almost $65K on April 14, 2021, a little over a month ago. However, over the past 10 days the price violently broke down from the $50K mark and even reached $30K last Wednesday.

Bearish sentiment affected the whole crypto market, as altcoins suffered even more: ETH, which saw its all-time high of $4400 just 11 days ago, dropped below $1800 earlier today, before a slight correction as of writing these lines.

Where is the bottom for this ongoing crypto bloodbath? No one knows, but it might be worth keeping an eye on the following optimistic signals.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index: Remember April 2020?

The crypto fear & greed index is now at levels not seen since April 2020, which is about the time when the last crypto market crash occurred, taking BTC down below $4,000, losing over 50% in two days at the peak of the pandemic “Black Thursday.”

In hindsight, it was an amazing time to buy in, but it wasn’t necessarily obvious back then. These days, Bitcoin has fallen over 50% from its ~$65,000 high down to $30,000 on Wednesday – is the index right once again, and is this crash a blessing in disguise for people with stablecoins on the sidelines?

S2F Model: Lower Band At $30K

Similarly, the stock to flow (S2F) model indicates that BTC is due for an upwards rebound at the $30,000 mark given its stage in the cycle. The S2F model treats Bitcoin as a commodity (given that it has a fixed supply and limited issuance, similar to gold) and thus factors in circulating supply and production speed in order to determine scarcity and therefore price.

IN BITCOIN’S SHORT HISTORY, the S2F model and 4-year cycle have been proven to be reliable. As stated by PlanB, the creator of the model: The continuation of this crash into the next few weeks (effectively the end of the bull cycle) would invalidate the S2F model and 4-year cycle model, which have so far been sound – many analysts predict that it’s not yet time for things to turn around for the worse.

S2F currently plots the lower band at $30K, which is this week’s current low.

On-Exchange Stablecoins At ATH, Waiting Aside?

The amount of stablecoins on exchanges is at a yearly ATH – Lex Moskovski opines that there are ‘a lot of bullets waiting to be deployed from the sidelines.’

Of course, this could merely be a function of a large number of new entrants into the cryptocurrency ecosystem, but it most likely means big players are gearing up to bring in large buys.

In addition, John Bollinger, the creator of the Bollinger Bands indicator, believes that BTC might be nearing a local double bottom.

All of these indicators come together and paint a better picture of Bitcoin’s immediate short-term potential than the market is making it out to seem. After the past few days’ waves of incessant bearish moves, it may be time for BTC to take a breather, as RSI indicates that we are heavily oversold.

Vaporware Altcoins Bleeding Out – BTC Dominance Rising

It’s clear that altcoins have more to worry about – Bitcoin dominance has hit a local bottom at ~40% and has been steadily trending upwards (currently sitting at 47%). It’ll most likely recover even more as the market sheds off the excess weight that had been added on by vaporware coins fuelled by the speculative altcoin mania bubble.

Thousands of new coins (mostly in the form of BEP-20 and ERC-20 tokens) have been created hoping to emulate the success of older meme coins such as Dogecoin. Whereas several of these coins garnered market caps in the millions, it was obvious that something of such magnitude could never be sustainable once taking into consideration their lack of fundamental utility.

As such, it’s fair to assume that smart money has begun the transition away from low cap altcoins and back into Bitcoin, the inevitable king of cryptocurrencies.

Source: 4 Signals Hint That Bitcoin Downtrend Might Soon Be Over – Fintechs.fi

Follow Fintechs.fi on Twitter and Facebook!

Newsletter

Related Articles

Beautiful Virgin Islands
0:00
0:00
Close
Politics is a good business: Barack Obama’s Reported Net Worth Growth, 1990–2025
Thai Civilian Death Toll Rises to 12 in Cambodian Cross-Border Attacks
TSUNAMI: Trump Just Crossed the Rubicon—And There’s No Turning Back
Over 120 Criminal Cases Dismissed in Boston Amid Public Defender Shortage
UN's Top Court Declares Environmental Protection a Legal Obligation Under International Law
"Crazy Thing": OpenAI's Sam Altman Warns Of AI Voice Fraud Crisis In Banking
The Podcaster Who Accidentally Revealed He Earns Over $10 Million a Year
Trump Announces $550 Billion Japanese Investment and New Trade Agreements with Indonesia and the Philippines
US Treasury Secretary Calls for Institutional Review of Federal Reserve Amid AI‑Driven Growth Expectations
UK Government Considers Dropping Demand for Apple Encryption Backdoor
Severe Flooding in South Korea Claims Lives Amid Ongoing Rescue Operations
Japanese Man Discovers Family Connection Through DNA Testing After Decades of Separation
Russia Signals Openness to Ukraine Peace Talks Amid Escalating Drone Warfare
Switzerland Implements Ban on Mammography Screening
Japanese Prime Minister Vows to Stay After Coalition Loses Upper House Majority
Pogacar Extends Dominance with Stage Fifteen Triumph at Tour de France
CEO Resigns Amid Controversy Over Relationship with HR Executive
Man Dies After Being Pulled Into MRI Machine Due to Metal Chain in New York Clinic
NVIDIA Achieves $4 Trillion Valuation Amid AI Demand
US Revokes Visas of Brazilian Corrupted Judges Amid Fake Bolsonaro Investigation
U.S. Congress Approves Rescissions Act Cutting Federal Funding for NPR and PBS
North Korea Restricts Foreign Tourist Access to New Seaside Resort
Brazil's Supreme Court Imposes Radical Restrictions on Former President Bolsonaro
Centrist Criticism of von der Leyen Resurfaces as she Survives EU Confidence Vote
Judge Criticizes DOJ Over Secrecy in Dropping Charges Against Gang Leader
Apple Closes $16.5 Billion Tax Dispute With Ireland
Von der Leyen Faces Setback Over €2 Trillion EU Budget Proposal
UK and Germany Collaborate on Global Military Equipment Sales
Trump Plans Over 10% Tariffs on African and Caribbean Nations
Flying Taxi CEO Reclaims Billionaire Status After Stock Surge
Epstein Files Deepen Republican Party Divide
Zuckerberg Faces $8 Billion Privacy Lawsuit From Meta Shareholders
FIFA Pressured to Rethink World Cup Calendar Due to Climate Change
SpaceX Nears $400 Billion Valuation With New Share Sale
Microsoft, US Lab to Use AI for Faster Nuclear Plant Licensing
Trump Walks Back Talk of Firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell
Zelensky Reshuffles Cabinet to Win Support at Home and in Washington
"Can You Hit Moscow?" Trump Asked Zelensky To Make Putin "Feel The Pain"
Irish Tech Worker Detained 100 days by US Authorities for Overstaying Visa
Dimon Warns on Fed Independence as Trump Administration Eyes Powell’s Succession
Church of England Removes 1991 Sexuality Guidelines from Clergy Selection
Superman Franchise Achieves Success with Latest Release
Hungary's Viktor Orban Rejects Agreements on Illegal Migration
Jeff Bezos Considers Purchasing Condé Nast as a Wedding Gift
Ghislaine Maxwell Says She’s Ready to Testify Before Congress on Epstein’s Criminal Empire
Bal des Pompiers: A Celebration of Community and Firefighter Culture in France
FBI Chief Kash Patel Denies Resignation Speculations Amid Epstein List Controversy
Air India Pilot’s Mental Health Records Under Scrutiny
Google Secures Windsurf AI Coding Team in $2.4 Billion Licence Deal
Jamie Dimon Warns Europe Is Losing Global Competitiveness and Flags Market Complacency
×