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Sunday, Jan 25, 2026

ASML Holding NV, Europe's most valuable technology company, is poised to define the U.S.-China chip war

ASML Holding NV, Europe's most valuable technology company, is poised to define the U.S.-China chip war

The Dutch company is the world's only supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV) machines, which are essential for making the most advanced semiconductors. China is eager to get its hands on EUV machines, but the U.S. government has been blocking their sale, citing national security concerns.

The U.S.-China chip war is a major geopolitical conflict that has the potential to reshape the global technology industry. The U.S. government is concerned that China is using its growing chipmaking capabilities to build up its military and economic power. China, on the other hand, argues that it needs to develop its own chip industry in order to be self-sufficient.

ASML is caught in the middle of this conflict. The company doesn't want to upset either the U.S. or China, but it also doesn't want to lose out on a lucrative market. ASML has said that it will comply with U.S. export controls, but it has also said that it is open to discussions with the U.S. government about how to balance national security concerns with the need to keep the global chip supply chain healthy.

The outcome of the U.S.-China chip war is still uncertain, but it is clear that ASML will play a key role in shaping the outcome. The company's decision about whether or not to sell EUV machines to China could have a major impact on the global technology industry and the geopolitical landscape.

Here are some of the potential consequences of the U.S.-China chip war:

  • A slowdown in global economic growth. The global economy is increasingly reliant on semiconductors, so a disruption to the chip supply chain could have a major impact on economic growth.
  • A rise in prices for consumer electronics. If the cost of semiconductors goes up, it will likely be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices.
  • A shift in global power. If China is able to develop its own chip industry, it will become less reliant on the U.S. and other countries for semiconductors. This could give China more economic and geopolitical power.

The U.S.-China chip war is a complex and multifaceted conflict. It is too early to say what the ultimate outcome will be, but it is clear that ASML will play a key role in shaping the future of the global technology industry.

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