A potentially category 1 hurricane is likely to pass close to the BVI on Friday, July 31 and residents are being asked to prepare.
According to the Department of Disaster Management (DDM), the National Hurricane Centre is monitoring disturbance 1/Invest 92 L.
"Residents should closely monitor this disturbance as it has the potential to be a CAT1 hurricane before passing the territory. In addition current forecast models have this system passing very close to the British Virgin Islands around Friday," DDM stated this afternoon Sunday, July 26.
At 8AM Disturbance 1 was located near 11 degrees north, 36 degrees west, or about 1958 miles east southeast of the British Virgin Islands. The system is moving to the west near 20 mph. This is expected to take the system into the northern Windward or the Leeward Islands late Wednesday or on Thursday.
While the system remains somewhat disorganized, there does appear to be a broad low level circulation present with this disturbance. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat favorable for development. In additional, all models forecast development. Forecasters have indicated there is a 90 percent chance of tropical development.
Presently the current forecast track has the system passing very close to the Virgin Islands however, the DDM will continue to monitor and provide updates of any changes.
Persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.