Beautiful Virgin Islands

Friday, Apr 03, 2026

Why billionaire Ray Dalio thinks another economic disaster is coming - and how he recommends preparing for it

Why billionaire Ray Dalio thinks another economic disaster is coming - and how he recommends preparing for it

Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio gives advice on how to prepare yourself for future financial catastrophes - and what could tank the American economy next.

“First, Ray Dalio foresaw the 2008 financial crisis. Then, he predicted years of long-term financial strain on the U.S. economy from the Covid pandemic.

Now, the 72-year-old billionaire investor who built Bridgewater Associates into the world’s largest hedge fund is warning of a new economic catastrophe on the horizon — and he wants you to be prepared.

“I think we’re at risk of a war with China,” Dalio told CNBC Make It during a live-streamed Q&A on Friday. “Largely due to misunderstandings.”

Dalio noted that his predictions aren’t facts: He’s been wrong before, too. But, he said, future catastrophes are inevitable, according to historical patterns over the last 500 years.

Why Dalio thinks the U.S.-China trade war could get worse


In his newest book, “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order,” Dalio wrote that American attempts to make China and its culture “more American” could eventually backfire, prompting a conflict.

That could intensify the two nations’ trade war, which was started by the Trump Administration in 2018 and has led American companies to cut wages, lower profit margins and raise consumer prices.

A Moody’s Analytics study found that the trade war cost Americans at least 300,000 jobs in just its first year. Last year, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York study found that the trade war had cost American companies $1.7 trillion in market capitalization.

Dalio’s comments about China have prompted recent controversy. After telling CNBC last week that China’s human rights policies were akin to those of a “strict parent,” he clarified his comments in a LinkedIn post. “I was attempting to explain what a Chinese leader told me about how they think about governing,” Dalio wrote. “I was not expressing my own opinion or endorsing that approach.”

In that post, he also expressed hope that the U.S. and China could back away from the precipice of conflict.

His first tip: Assess your financial risks


Regardless of what happens, Dalio said on Friday, he has a simple principle for approaching future events: “If you worry, you don’t have to worry. And if you don’t worry, you have to worry.”

Worrying, he said, prompts you to take a close look at your own personal risks — and encourages you to take action on them.

One risk, for example, could be “location,” meaning the physical place where you live and work. Dalio’s book contains a “Health Index” that rates roughly a dozen nations on 18 factors like debt burdens, military strength and economic output. It’s intended as a resource for readers to assess risks and form strategies on where to live and invest, and according to Forbes, he plans to launch a website housing real-time versions of the data.

Moving is, of course, often a hassle — but Dalio said it’s worth considering under financially worrying circumstances. “Flexibility is key,” he added.

Similarly, he advised, measure your financial risks in inflation-adjusted terms instead of today’s dollars. If you have cash in a savings account, for example, it’s probably accruing value at a different rate than your other investments, since it’s being taxed by inflation.

His second tip: Save and diversify your portfolio


Dalio’s first step to a strong portfolio is assessing your current investment strategy — if you have one — to figure out how many weeks you could financially survive if you lost your job. “It always pays to find out whatever the worst-case scenario is and cover yourself from that,” Dalio said.

Then, make sure your money isn’t all in one place. “Cash is not a safe investment,” Dalio told CNBC last week, as inflation hit a 31-year high in the U.S. Instead, he suggested on Friday, build as diverse a portfolio as possible — ranging from inflation index bonds, which Dalio recommended above regular bonds, to physical assets like gold.

Your portfolio could even include digital assets like cryptocurrencies. In May, Dalio told CoinDesk that he personally owns a “small amount” of bitcoin, despite years of criticizing crypto. The reason, Dalio said on Friday: It’s a hedge bet, made solely for the purpose of diversification.

“I urge those who like bitcoin — or those who like gold — to not make it an all-or-none decision,” he said.

Newsletter

Related Articles

Beautiful Virgin Islands
0:00
0:00
Close
Trump’s Strategic Pressure on UK Seen as Push for Stronger Alignment and Fairer Terms
UK Focuses on Trade Finance to Secure Critical Materials for Defence and Energy Sectors
Majority of UK Businesses Hit by Middle East Conflict While Confidence Holds Firm
UK Royal Navy Faces Renewed Scrutiny as Debate Intensifies Over Capability and Readiness
Reform UK Faces Mounting Distractions as Policy Agenda Struggles to Gain Traction
Investigation Launched Into Northern Cyprus IVF Clinics After UK Families Receive Incorrect Sperm
International Meeting Issues Unified Call to Safeguard Navigation Through Strait of Hormuz
Potential Strait of Hormuz Closure Raises Concerns Over UK Food and Medicine Supply Chains
UK Leads Coalition of Over Forty Nations Urging Iran to Reopen Strait of Hormuz
UK Secures Tariff-Free Access for Medicines in Landmark US Pharma Trade Agreement
King Charles III Invited to Address Joint Session of U.S. Congress in Rare Diplomatic Honor
Debate Grows Over Whether Expanded North Sea Drilling Can Reduce UK Energy Bills
UK Faces Heightened Risk of Jet Fuel Shortages, Airline Chief Warns
UK Ends Police Investigations into Lawful Social Media Posts After Review Finds Overreach
Abramovich Moves to Establish Charity for Frozen Chelsea Sale Proceeds Amid UK Dispute
Starmer Reaffirms NATO Commitment While Responding to Trump’s Strategic Critique
UK Aid Reductions Raise Fears of Severe Human Impact Across Parts of Africa
UK Signals Renewed Push for EU Cooperation as Iran Conflict Reshapes Security Landscape
Bank of England Signals Caution as Bailey Advises Markets Against Expecting Rate Hikes
UK to Convene Global Coalition to Restore Shipping Through Strait of Hormuz
Trump Signals Possible NATO Reassessment, Emphasizes Stronger U.S. Strategic Autonomy
Australia Joins British-Led Efforts to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Escalating Tensions
King Charles Plans US State Visit as UK Strengthens Ties with Trump Leadership
UK Regulator Launches Investigation Into Microsoft’s Business Software Practices
Kanye West Set for High-Profile Return to UK Stage at Wireless Festival
Trump Presses Europe to Strengthen Commitment as Iran Conflict Escalates
UK to Deploy Additional Troops to Middle East Amid Rising Regional Tensions
UK Authorities Face Claims of Heavy-Handed Measures in Monitoring Released Pro-Palestine Activists
Trump Calls on UK to Secure Its Own Energy as Iran Conflict Intensifies
Nigel Farage Declines Invitation to UK Conservative Conference Led by Liz Truss
Trump Warns Allies to Take Responsibility as Rift Deepens with UK and France Over Iran Conflict
How Britain’s Prime Minister Controls U.S. Bomber Access in Escalating Iran Conflict
Trump Urges Allies to Secure Their Own Oil Supplies as Hormuz Crisis Disrupts Global Energy
Russia Expels British Diplomat as UK Pushes Back Against Pressure
White House App Faces Scrutiny After Claims of Continuous User Location Tracking
BBC Faces Scrutiny Over Allegations of Paid Content Linked to Saudi Arabia
UK-France Coastal Patrol Agreement Nears Breakdown Amid Migration Pressures
UK Police Detain Pro-Palestine Activist Again Weeks After Bail Release
FTSE 100 Advances as Energy and Mining Shares Gain Amid Middle East Tensions
Eli Lilly Seeks UK Pricing Deal to Unlock Renewed Pharmaceutical Investment
Three Arrested in UK After Massive Cocaine Haul Discovered Hidden in Banana Shipment
UK Fuel Prices Poised for Further Surge Amid Global Energy Pressures
Apple Subsidiary Penalized by UK Authorities for Breach of Moscow Sanctions
Western Allies Intensify Coordinated Sanctions Strategy Against Russia
UK Lawmakers Face Criticism Over Renewed Push for Social Media Restrictions
Starmer Signals UK Crackdown on Addictive Social Media Features
Rising Costs Push One in Five UK Hospitality Businesses to the Brink of Closure
Man Arrested on Suspicion of Attempted Murder After Car Strikes Pedestrians in UK, Injuring Seven
Escalating Conflict Involving Iran Tightens Fiscal Pressures and Highlights UK Economic Vulnerabilities
UK Moves to Confront Russian ‘Shadow Fleet’ Operating in Its Waters
×