Beautiful Virgin Islands

Monday, Dec 22, 2025

Analysis: Boris Johnson's 'global Britain' needs more than a tiny Australian trade deal

Analysis: Boris Johnson's 'global Britain' needs more than a tiny Australian trade deal

The United Kingdom's first new trade deal since Brexit is a sobering reminder of the mammoth task it faces as it seeks to compensate for losing the economic benefits of EU membership.

The deal announced Tuesday with Australia is the first bilateral trade agreement the United Kingdom has negotiated from scratch since it left the European Union last year. Britain has also struck deals with Japan and Norway, but they were based on existing agreements negotiated by the European Union.

The United Kingdom's ability to set its own trade policy has been billed by the government as a major benefit of Brexit. But the Australia deal is only expected to boost the size of the UK economy by 0.02% over 15 years, increasing GDP by £500 million ($704 million) compared to its 2018 level, according to the Department for International Trade.

By comparison, Britain's new trading relationship with the European Union is expected to lead to a long-run loss of output of around 4% compared to remaining in the bloc, according to a previous forecast by the UK Office for Budget Responsibility, which produces economic projections for the government.

The deal with Australia comes as the UK government struggles to get along with the European Union, its most important trading partner. Ongoing tensions between the two sides concerning trade with Northern Ireland escalated at the G7 meeting over the weekend, increasing the risk of a trade spat just six months after Brexit was finalized.

The United Kingdom has unilaterally extended grace periods on some checks on goods crossing into Northern Ireland, which the European Union argues contravenes the Brexit deal that came into force this year. Experts say that if UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson wants to deliver real trade benefits, he should focus on reducing tensions with Brussels.

"You can't be 'global Britain' if you're not managing your most important international relationship," Simon Usherwood, a professor of politics and international studies at The Open University in England, told CNN Business.

"Other countries looking in will ask themselves, 'Why would we want to make deals with a country that doesn't appear to stick to the terms of deals it's already made? Not just any deals but ones with it's closest and biggest trading partner?'," he added.

UK hopes for much bigger deals with countries such as the United States and India have also taken a knock given US President Joe Biden's desire to focus on domestic issues and a devastating coronavirus wave in India.

The Australia deal


The details of the Australia deal have yet to be announced and implementation is not expected to begin before next year, but some British businesses and trade experts are already pouring cold water on UK trade secretary Liz Truss's assertion that the deal "delivers for Britain."

UK farmers and other food and drink producers are anxious that the deal could allow cheap agricultural imports, including meat, and set a dangerous precedent for negotiations with other major agricultural exporters, including the United States, New Zealand, Canada and Mexico. They also say negotiations were rushed.

"The risks here are enormous for the whole food and drink supply chain and, in the absence of any formal impact assessment to suggest the contrary, we remain hugely concerned at the impact on sensitive sectors of our industry," representatives from Scotland's farming, supply chain and food industries said in an open letter to Truss last week.

The UK government said in a statement on Tuesday that British farmers will be "protected" because tariff-free imports will be capped for 15 years. Yet the government has previously acknowledged that "Australia has a strong comparative advantage in its exports of livestock meat" and may be able to supply UK retailers "at lower cost than domestic producers."

Even if imports are phased in over a longer period they could still cause the demise of "many, many beef and sheep farms throughout the UK," according to Minette Batters, President of the National Farmers' Union (NFU) of England and Wales.

The union is concerned that UK farmers will struggle to compete with countries that have considerably larger, more productive agricultural sectors and, in some cases, lower environmental and animal welfare standards.

"The bigger risk is the cumulative effect of all these trade deals ... that is really at the heart of our concerns," said Nick von Westenholz, director of trade and business strategy at the National Farmers' Union. A trade deal that puts farmers out of business would also undermine the UK government's "leveling up" agenda to boost investment into areas outside major cities, Von Westenholz added.

Not a replacement for EU trade


According to the UK government, the deal with Australia will cut tariffs on products such as cars, Scotch whisky, biscuits and ceramics, boosting a trading relationship that was worth £13.9 billion ($19.5 billion) last year.

It will also make it easier for Brits under the age of 35 to travel and work in Australia and lower the price consumers pay for goods such as Jacob's Creek wines.

"This is global Britain at its best — looking outwards and striking deals that deepen our alliances and help ensure every part of the country builds back better from the pandemic," Johnson said on Tuesday.

But British businesses were quick to point out that the deal is not nearly enough to counteract what the United Kingdom gave up when it chose to exit the European Union, which accounts for 47% of UK trade worth over £660 billion ($927 billion) a year.

"Trade with Australia represents only around 1.2% of the UK's total, so whilst a deal will have welcome benefits it will not offset the ongoing issues with trade to the European Union," William Bain, head of trade policy at the British Chambers of Commerce said in a statement.

"We welcome an ambitious trade policy if it will open new opportunities for our producers," added the representatives from Scotland's trade bodies.

"That said, we should be under no illusion that the EU market remains the most important export market, with it being the destination of two-thirds of all food exports. The new trading arrangements post-Brexit with our biggest export market, on our doorstep, have made this market more costly, complex and high risk to supply to."

Into the unknown


The UK government said Tuesday that the deal with Australia takes it a step closer to joining the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), an 11-country trade pact that includes New Zealand, Mexico, Canada and Singapore.

"Membership will create unheralded opportunities for our farmers, makers, innovators and investors to do business in the future engine room of the global economy," according to Truss.

But several trade experts have pointed out that even membership of the CPTPP won't balance out the negative impact of leaving the European Union.

The CPTPP is "nothing like the European Union, because [the EU] is an open market," said David Henig, UK director at the European Centre For International
Political Economy. In other words, joining the pact may lead to reduced tariffs on some goods but it is not as beneficial as membership of the EU single market, which also removes other barriers to trade.

The risk is that, in its eagerness to strike new trade deals and prove that leaving the European Union was worthwhile, Britain gives too much away. That already appears to be the case when it comes to the deal with Australia.

"We don't have all the details so far but judged in terms of exports it looks to be a fantastic deal for Australia," said Dmitry Grozoubinski, a former trade negotiator for the Australian government and director of Geneva-based trade consultancy ExplainTrade.

"The deal immediately provides significantly better access to the UK market than Australian producers of beef, lamb and dairy enjoyed in the past, and only ramps up from there," he told CNN Business. "We have far fewer details on what the UK managed to extract by way of concessions in exchange, however."

Newsletter

Related Articles

Beautiful Virgin Islands
0:00
0:00
Close
The Pilot Barricaded Himself in the Cockpit and Refused to Take Off: "We Are Not Leaving Until I Receive My Salary"
UK Fashion Label LK Bennett Pursues Accelerated Sale Amid Financial Struggles
U.S. Government Warns UK Over Free Speech in Pro-Life Campaigner Prosecution
Newly Released Files Shed Light on Jeffrey Epstein’s Extensive Links to the United Kingdom
Prince William and Prince George Volunteer Together at UK Homelessness Charity
UK Police Arrest Protesters Chanting ‘Globalise the Intifada’ as Authorities Recalibrate Free Speech Enforcement
Scambodia: The World Owes Thailand’s Military a Profound Debt of Gratitude
Women in Partial Nudity — and Bill Clinton in a Dress and Heels: The Images Revealed in the “Epstein Files”
US Envoy Witkoff to Convene Security Advisers from Ukraine, UK, France and Germany in Miami as Peace Efforts Intensify
UK Retailers Report Sharp Pre-Christmas Sales Decline and Weak Outlook, CBI Survey Shows
UK Government Rejects Use of Frozen Russian Assets to Fund Aid for Ukraine
UK Financial Conduct Authority Opens Formal Investigation into WH Smith After Accounting Errors
UK Issues Final Ultimatum to Roman Abramovich Over £2.5bn Chelsea Sale Funds for Ukraine
Rare Pink Fog Sweeps Across Parts of the UK as Met Office Warns of Poor Visibility
UK Police Pledge ‘More Assertive’ Enforcement to Tackle Antisemitism at Protests
UK Police Warn They Will Arrest Protesters Chanting ‘Globalise the Intifada’
Trump Files $10 Billion Defamation Lawsuit Against BBC as Broadcaster Pledges Legal Defence
UK Says U.S. Tech Deal Talks Still Active Despite Washington’s Suspension of Prosperity Pact
UK Mortgage Rules to Give Greater Flexibility to Borrowers With Irregular Incomes
UK Treasury Moves to Position Britain as Leading Global Hub for Crypto Firms
U.S. Freezes £31 Billion Tech Prosperity Deal With Britain Amid Trade Dispute
Prince Harry and Meghan’s Potential UK Return Gains New Momentum Amid Security Review and Royal Dialogue
Zelensky Opens High-Stakes Peace Talks in Berlin with Trump Envoy and European Leaders
Historical Reflections on Press Freedom Emerge Amid Debate Over Trump’s Media Policies
UK Boosts Protection for Jewish Communities After Sydney Hanukkah Attack
UK Government Declines to Comment After ICC Prosecutor Alleges Britain Threatened to Defund Court Over Israel Arrest Warrant
Apple Shutters All Retail Stores in the United Kingdom Under New National COVID-19 Lockdown
US–UK Technology Partnership Strains as Key Trade Disagreements Emerge
UK Police Confirm No Further Action Over Allegation That Andrew Asked Bodyguard to Investigate Virginia Giuffre
Giuffre Family Expresses Deep Disappointment as UK Police Decline New Inquiry Into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor Claims
Transatlantic Trade Ambitions Hit a Snag as UK–US Deal Faces Emerging Challenges
Ex-ICC Prosecutor Alleges UK Threatened to Withdraw Funding Over Netanyahu Arrest Warrant Bid
UK Disciplinary Tribunal Clears Carter-Ruck Lawyer of Misconduct in OneCoin Case
‘Pink Ladies’ Emerge as Prominent Face of UK Anti-Immigration Protests
Nigel Farage Says Reform UK Has Become Britain’s Largest Party as Labour Membership Falls Sharply
Google DeepMind and UK Government Launch First Automated AI Lab to Accelerate Scientific Discovery
UK Economy Falters Ahead of Budget as Growth Contracts and Confidence Wanes
Australia Approves Increased Foreign Stake in Strategic Defence Shipbuilder
Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson proclaims, “For Ukraine, surrendering their land would be a nightmare.”
Microsoft Challenges £2.1 Billion UK Cloud Licensing Lawsuit at Competition Tribunal
Fake Doctor in Uttar Pradesh Accused of Killing Woman After Performing YouTube-Based Surgery
Hackers Are Hiding Malware in Open-Source Tools and IDE Extensions
Traveling to USA? Homeland Security moving toward requiring foreign travelers to share social media history
UK Officials Push Back at Trump Saying European Leaders ‘Talk Too Much’ About Ukraine
UK Warns of Escalating Cyber Assault Linked to Putin’s State-Backed Operations
UK Consumer Spending Falters in November as Households Hold Back Ahead of Budget
UK Orders Fresh Review of Prince Harry’s Security Status After Formal Request
U.S. Authorises Nvidia to Sell H200 AI Chips to China Under Security Controls
Trump in Direct Assault: European Leaders Are Weak, Immigration a Disaster. Russia Is Strong and Big — and Will Win
"App recommendation" or disguised advertisement? ChatGPT Premium users are furious
×