Disturbance 1 passed south of the Territory last evening, August 30, 2020, and DDM said some trailing bands are creating minimal shower activity.

“A disturbance not on the NHC forecast page is moving to the west northwest towards the Leeward Islands and two disturbances continue to move west.

“No indication of any threat has been announced at this point however, residents should continue to monitor and have plans prepared for any changes,” DDM stated today, August 31, 2020.

Disturbance 1

Disturbance 1 is located about 175 miles north of Aruba near 15N, 70W. The system, according to DDM, is becoming better organised as it tracks west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea.

“This general motion is expected to persist, and this will take the disturbance towards Central America by Thursday.”

The system, DDM said, will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm before landfall occurs. “Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely later this week for Honduras, Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexico. The chance of tropical development is near 80 percent. This will be our final on disturbance 1.

Another disturbance not highlighted by NHC

A Disturbance, DDM continued, is located about 650 miles east of Barbados near 12N, 50W.

“This disturbance is not highlighted on the NHC forecast page.”

The disturbance has slowed since the previous forecast and is expected to track west-northwestward over the next several days taking the system towards the Leeward Islands by this weekend. Environmental conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive for further development. The chance of tropical development is near 20 percent.

Disturbance 4

Disturbance 4 is located about 700 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands near 15N, 35W. The disturbance has become less organised. A general motion towards the west is expected over the next few days. Conditions are only forecast to be marginally conducive for development. The chance of tropical development is near 20 percent.

Disturbance 3

Disturbance 3 is located just off the west coast of Africa along 20W.

“A slow westward motion is expected to begin later this week. Conditions could become more favorable for development by the end of the week. The chance of tropical development is near 20 percent.”

Meanwhile, persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.

Persons can also visit the DDM’s webpage at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates or like us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm.