Inflation, growth, living standards, and investment in focus
On the day Rishi Sunak called a July election and announced falling inflation figures, the UK government highlighted its economic performance. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt made several comparisons between the UK economy and other countries. Hunt stated that UK inflation is lower than in the eurozone and the US, with the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) at 2.3% in April 2024. In comparison, US inflation was 3.4% and eurozone inflation was 2.4%. However, the UK’s inflation peaked higher at 11.1% in October 2022.
Hunt also claimed that the UK economy will grow faster over the next six years than France, Germany, Italy, or Japan, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF predicts the UK's GDP will grow by 8.8% by the end of 2029, outpacing these countries but lagging behind the US and Canada.
Regarding living standards, Hunt mentioned that they have fallen more in Germany, Austria, and Sweden compared to the UK. The Treasury cited OECD data on gross disposable household income between April-June 2022 and October-December 2024 to support this. However, the time period seems arbitrary, and broader data indicates UK living standards have performed worse than these countries and the G7 average since late 2019.
Hunt also highlighted that the UK has attracted more foreign direct investment than any country except the US and China since 2010. Greenfield foreign direct investment data shows UK investment grew by £498bn from 2010 to 2022, surpassing Germany and France but trailing the US and China. However, other measures suggest the UK may lag behind France in attracting foreign investors.",