Forecasted Impact of Labour's Disability Benefits Reforms on Disabled Individuals
Expert analysis reveals that proposed changes could result in significant financial losses for disabled people by the end of the decade.
Significant reforms to disability benefits proposed under the Labour government could result in an estimated annual loss of nearly £10,000 for some disabled individuals by the decade's end, according to analysis from experts.
The planned changes are set to affect approximately one million individuals currently receiving Personal Independence Payments (PIP), who could see reductions in their benefits ranging from £4,200 to £6,300.
Additionally, hundreds of thousands more may be adversely affected through the anticipated loss of incapacity benefits.
The Resolution Foundation thinktank characterized the reforms as likely to inflict “painful income shocks” on low-income households, many of whom are not guaranteed pathways into employment as a result of these changes.
The reforms' implications extend beyond direct PIP recipients, jeopardizing additional forms of financial assistance linked to PIP eligibility, such as carer’s allowance and council tax reductions.
This is particularly concerning for unpaid carers, many of whom rely on financial support from the benefits system to support disabled family members.
PIP serves as a 'gateway' to the Motability scheme, which allows some disabled claimants to exchange part of their benefits for accessible vehicles.
Although the mobility component of PIP remains unaffected by the proposed reforms, disability charity Scope has indicated uncertainty regarding whether this will preserve disabled individuals' access to transportation.
Moreover, young care leavers with disabilities face potential financial losses of approximately £5,000 annually due to proposed restrictions on their ability to claim the incapacity element of Universal Credit (UC) if they are under the age of 22.
The Resolution Foundation remarked that the government’s approach appears rushed, aimed at achieving immediate fiscal savings.
Senior economist Louise Murphy articulated concerns regarding the possibility that the reforms could lead to increased poverty among vulnerable groups, emphasizing the unclear impact on employment prospects for those losing disability benefit support.
Plans to restrict PIP eligibility while making it essential for accessing UC health payments may double the negative financial impact on some disabled individuals during the reassessment period.
Estimates suggest that a single adult eligible for both PIP and incapacity benefits may find their income reduced by as much as £9,600 annually once the work capability assessment is phased out in 2028.
The proposed reforms have drawn criticism from campaigners and members of Parliament, who argue that they contradict Labour's commitments to combat child poverty and support caregivers and vulnerable young adults.
Helen Walker, Chief Executive of Carers UK, warned that the increase in qualifying thresholds for PIP could further exacerbate financial hardships for caregivers, leading to dilemmas surrounding essential living expenses.
Income changes resulting from PIP eligibility can also affect the carer’s allowance, valued at approximately £4,250 annually, potentially resulting in a total loss of support exceeding £10,000 for affected families.
The government has pledged to engage in consultations regarding protective measures for individuals impacted by these reforms.
Around one million people in the UK currently receive carer’s allowance, with an estimated 50% relying on PIP claims for eligibility.
Approximately 1.2 million unpaid carers in the UK are reported to be living in poverty, with around 400,000 facing deep poverty.
The care leaver charity Become has advocated for exemptions to the planned reforms for care leavers, highlighting the severe risks of further marginalization without necessary financial support.
The charity’s chief executive, Katharine Sacks-Jones, expressed concerns that decreased support would intensify challenges related to essential living costs for young care leavers, increasing their susceptibility to homelessness and unemployment.
The UK government has articulated its commitment to enhancing the resources available to care leavers, with the education secretary and the deputy prime minister jointly leading a committee focused on this issue.
The Department for Work and Pensions has not publicly commented on the anticipated reforms.