A proposed policy change seeking to improve U.S.-Cuba relations ignites discussions about diplomacy, security, and human rights.
The Biden administration has indicated a plan to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism, as part of a broader initiative to secure the release of political prisoners and ease diplomatic tensions.
This move, which represents a notable shift from the Trump-era policy, has sparked discussions about its impact on bilateral relations, human rights, and U.S. foreign policy.
Historical Context: Cuba’s Designation
Since 1982, Cuba has fluctuated on and off the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism. This designation, shared with countries like North Korea, Syria, and Iran, suggests that these nations have 'repeatedly provided support for acts of international terrorism.' It imposes economic sanctions, such as restrictions on U.S. financial aid, arms exports, and foreign investment.
In 2015, President Barack Obama removed Cuba from the list in an effort to normalize relations.
However, in 2021, President
Donald Trump reinstated the designation, citing Cuba’s support for Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and alleged involvement in regional instability.
Cuba denounced the move as 'opportunistic' and 'cynical,' viewing it as a political tactic.
Biden’s Policy Shift
A recent review by a White House official found 'no information' justifying Cuba’s continued presence on the terrorism list.
Reconsidering Cuba’s status aligns with a broader agreement, facilitated by the Catholic Church, that includes the release of a 'significant' number of political prisoners arrested during 2021’s anti-government protests in Cuba.
Cuba has cautiously welcomed the decision, with its Foreign Ministry calling it a 'step in the right direction' while noting its limited impact.
'This decision lifts certain coercive measures that have, alongside many others, severely harmed the Cuban economy and had grave consequences for the population,' the ministry stated.
Economic and Diplomatic Implications
Removing Cuba from the terrorism list could pave the way for improved economic and diplomatic relations between the two countries.
The designation has deterred major banks and foreign investors from operating in Cuba, worsening the island’s economic difficulties.
By lifting financial restrictions imposed during the Trump administration, the Biden administration hopes to alleviate some of these challenges while fostering dialogue on other contentious issues.
Key measures under consideration include:
Easing financial restrictions on certain Cuban nationals.
Suspending the ability of U.S. citizens to file claims over properties confiscated in Cuba.
Encouraging foreign investment in Cuba’s struggling economy.
However, these proposed changes face strong opposition from Republican lawmakers, such as Senator Marco Rubio, a long-time advocate for maintaining sanctions on Cuba.
Rubio, whose family fled Cuba before Fidel Castro’s communist revolution, argues that lifting restrictions would embolden the Cuban government without securing substantial reforms.
Human Rights Concerns and Regional Stability
A central element of the agreement is the release of political prisoners.
Many detainees were arrested during 2021’s widespread protests, driven by economic hardships and government mismanagement.
These protests were among the largest expressions of dissent in Cuba’s recent history, drawing global attention to its human rights record.
While the agreement could improve conditions for some prisoners, critics argue that broader systemic issues remain unresolved.
'The release of prisoners is a positive step but doesn’t alter the underlying reality of repression and lack of freedoms in Cuba,' said a representative from Human Rights Watch.
Additionally, the agreement has wider implications for U.S.-Cuba relations in the geopolitical landscape.
Cuba’s ties with countries like Venezuela, Russia, and China remain contentious.
Critics worry that removing Cuba from the terrorism list could weaken U.S. leverage in addressing these alliances and curb regional instability.
Political Risks and Future Uncertainty
This potential policy shift comes as the Biden administration faces increasing pressure to balance diplomatic engagement with domestic political considerations.
Republican leaders have vowed to contest any move perceived as softening the U.S. stance on Cuba, framing it as yielding to a repressive regime.
Uncertainty also shrouds the future of U.S.-Cuba relations.
Should
Donald Trump return to office in 2025, as some predict, he might seek to reinstate Cuba’s designation and undo any progress made under Biden.
Similarly, the direction of future administrations will likely influence bilateral ties.
The Cuban government remains cautiously optimistic.
While recognizing the symbolic and practical benefits of being removed from the terrorism list, Cuban officials stress the need for broader economic reforms and an end to the U.S. trade embargo to achieve meaningful progress.