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Friday, Feb 21, 2025

Kremlin's Reactions to Trump's Ukraine Deal Highlight Underlying Dynamics

Kremlin's Reactions to Trump's Ukraine Deal Highlight Underlying Dynamics

Russian media responds positively to Trump's approach, indicating a perceived shift in international power dynamics.
U.S. President Donald Trump's initial engagement regarding a potential deal in Ukraine has elicited a strong emotional response from Moscow, marked by an unprecedented level of reference to Western media outlets in Russian news coverage.

For several years, the Russian government promoted a narrative encouraging citizens to focus on partnerships with Eastern nations, notably China and North Korea, while condemning Western influences.

However, the tone appears to be shifting, as even publications like Kommersant, typically seen as moderate, labeled Trump's interactions with President Vladimir Putin as a 'triumph' for Russia.

This shift in media narratives suggests that the Kremlin regards Trump's approach as an acknowledgment of its request for recognition as a geopolitical equal.

Trump’s perceived positioning—viewing the relationship with Putin as comparable to that of a powerful figure such as a crime baron—reinforces a belief within Russia that Europe and Ukraine should defer to Russia's objectives.

In this context, the Kremlin expects to negotiate from a position of strength concerning territorial claims in Ukraine and seeks an acknowledgment of its annexations in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

Moscow anticipates that any deal brokered would include Ukraine's formal recognition of these advances, the sidelining of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and a cessation of NATO discussions regarding Ukraine's membership.

Experts note that while these demands may symbolize a victory for the Kremlin, they do not equate to sustained control over Ukraine or a notable transformation in Russia's influence in Europe.

Instead, many in the Kremlin consider the anticipated outcomes as a temporary arrangement.

The current landscape is characterized by a complex interplay of historical grievances and a deep-seated perception that the West acts with hostility towards Russia.

Centuries of conflict have led to a prevailing narrative that Russia is in a perpetual struggle against Western forces, rooted in historical events dating back to the 13th century.

Although Russian elites are skeptical of forming genuine international alliances, believing instead in a worldview dominated by self-reliance and historical grievances, they still perceive a need for acknowledgment from the West, particularly from the United States.

President Putin's early tenure is marked by his pursuit of recognition from U.S. leaders, and this perspective continues to influence Russia's foreign policy today.

Analysts assert that while Russian leadership might engage tactically with Trump to achieve certain objectives, they remain acutely aware of the underlying tensions between Russia and the U.S. Despite a strong public narrative, the historical and geopolitical landscape creates challenges to any notions of lasting peace or alliance.
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