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Thursday, Apr 02, 2026

Grim Polls Predict Major Loss for PM Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak has called for a general election, with polls indicating a significant defeat for his Conservative Party. Conservatives stand at 20 percent, while Labour is at 47 percent. With a persistent trend of Labour leadership, the Conservatives face their longest losing streak since 2010, and predictions suggest they may secure even fewer seats than during their 1997 defeat.
Rishi Sunak has called for a general election, with polls indicating a significant defeat for his Conservative Party.

According to the latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, Conservatives stand at 20 percent, while Labour is at 47 percent.

The Economist averages major polls to give Labour a 23-point lead.

This trend has persisted since Liz Truss's brief premiership in late 2022, marking the Conservatives' longest stretch without a lead over Labour since 2010.

Polling expert John Curtice predicts that if this trend holds, the Conservatives may secure even fewer seats than during their 1997 defeat under Tony Blair.

Electoral Calculus predicts the Tories could win just 85 seats, compared to Labour's 472.

Personal ratings for Sunak are also low, with only 20 percent holding a positive view of him, while 71 percent view him negatively.

Labour leader Keir Starmer, although also seen negatively, fares better.

Labour leads on key issues—economy, health, and immigration—making their victory appear nearly certain.
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