A highly transmissible H3N2 strain is driving unprecedented flu hospitalisations across Britain, placing the NHS under extreme winter pressure ahead of a key doctors’ strike.
Hospitals across the United Kingdom are confronting what health leaders have described as a “worst-case scenario” amid a powerful surge of influenza infections that have pushed admissions to record levels for this time of year.
NHS England figures show an average of 2,660 patients a day were in hospital with flu last week, a more than fifty-five per cent rise on the previous week and the highest on record for early winter, with more than one hundred flu patients now in critical care beds as flu pressures intensify.
Driven by a mutated H3N2 influenza variant — often referred to as a “super flu” strain because of its high transmissibility and early circulation — the outbreak has spread rapidly across the country, with sharp increases in Scotland and Wales as well.
London’s hospitals, for example, reported daily flu bed occupancy more than triple that seen at the same point last year.
Alongside the influenza wave, NHS trusts are grappling with surging demand for emergency care, with millions of attendances recorded in accident and emergency departments and ambulance crews reporting heavier workloads than in recent winters.
The unprecedented pressures come as resident doctors prepare for a planned five-day strike in mid-December, a dispute that health officials have warned could further challenge services already operating at capacity.
The NHS’s national medical director emphasised that the surge is both early and large, with no peak yet in sight, and urged eligible individuals to seek vaccination as soon as possible, highlighting that immunity builds over about two weeks.
While overall
vaccine supplies remain adequate, uptake among certain vulnerable groups has lagged, prompting repeated pleas from public health officials to protect those at greatest risk of severe illness.
In response to the strain, some hospitals have reinstated mask mandates and introduced infection-control measures to protect staff and patients, and NHS leaders continue to prepare for escalating flu hospitalisations in the weeks ahead.
The combination of a vigorous viral wave, already stretched emergency services, and planned industrial action underscores the scale of the challenge facing Britain’s health service during this winter season.